Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultXV de Piracicaba to win ✓39% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.56
XV de Piracicaba vs Ituano preview and prediction
The match
Ituano travel to Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra in the Paulista A2 on Thursday 9 April (01:00 WAT) to face XV de Piracicaba.
Form guide
XV de Piracicaba's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Votuporanguense 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ituano's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Água Santa 3–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
XV de Piracicaba arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 March 2026, finished Ituano 0–0 XV de Piracicaba.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for XV de Piracicaba and 1.0 for Ituano. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: XV de Piracicaba 39%, draw 25%, Ituano 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 53% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: XV de Piracicaba 1–1 Ituano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
XV de Piracicaba39%fair 2.60 · @2.35
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Ituano36%fair 2.77 · @2.95
2.14Expected goals
1.10XV de Piracicaba xG
1.05Ituano xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: XV de Piracicaba 1.1 – 1.0 Ituano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for XV de Piracicaba vs Ituano?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win XV de Piracicaba vs Ituano?
On our numbers XV de Piracicaba have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ituano 36%.
How many goals will there be in XV de Piracicaba vs Ituano?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for XV de Piracicaba vs Ituano?
Our predicted score is XV de Piracicaba 1–1 Ituano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is XV de Piracicaba vs Ituano?
XV de Piracicaba vs Ituano (Paulista A2) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A2 · Brazil · Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra
