The Paulista A2 sees Água Santa take on Ituano on Saturday 28 March, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Água Santa's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Ituano 0–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ituano's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Água Santa 3–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Água Santa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 March 2026, finished Ituano 3–0 Água Santa. Across their last 2 meetings Água Santa have won 1, Ituano 1, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Água Santa and 1.0 for Ituano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Água Santa 44%, draw 23%, Ituano 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Água Santa 1–1 Ituano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Água Santa44%fair 2.25 · @2.35
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Ituano32%fair 3.11 · @2.95
2.29Expected goals
1.27Água Santa xG
1.02Ituano xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Água Santa 1.3 – 1.0 Ituano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Água Santa vs Ituano?
On our numbers Água Santa have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ituano 32%.
How many goals will there be in Água Santa vs Ituano?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Água Santa vs Ituano?
Our predicted score is Água Santa 1–1 Ituano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Água Santa vs Ituano?
Água Santa vs Ituano (Paulista A2) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.