Value bet: Água Santa to win @ 1.77 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultÁgua Santa to win ✗61% · @1.77
Double chanceÁgua Santa or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.99
Água Santa vs Votuporanguense preview and prediction
The match
Água Santa host Votuporanguense in the Paulista A2 on Wednesday 18 March, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Água Santa's last 4: WWWL Most recently they beat Monte Azul 1–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Votuporanguense's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Ferroviária 2–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Votuporanguense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Água Santa and 0.7 for Votuporanguense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Água Santa 61%, draw 23%, Votuporanguense 15%.
Safer route: Água Santa or draw (85%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Água Santa to win at 1.77 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Água Santa 1–0 Votuporanguense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Água Santa61%fair 1.64 · @1.77
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.30
Votuporanguense15%fair 6.48 · @4.33
2.36Expected goals
1.67Água Santa xG
0.69Votuporanguense xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Água Santa 1.7 – 0.7 Votuporanguense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Água Santa to win✗
61%
1.64
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Água Santa or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Água Santa / FT Água Santa✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.99
–
Form
Água Santa – last 4
WWWL
1 Mar
@ Monte Azul
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Grêmio Prudente
4–3
W
18 Feb
@ Ituano
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ São José EC
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Votuporanguense – last 3
WWW
26 Feb
@ Ferroviária
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Oeste
2–1
W
18 Feb
vs Sao Bento
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Água Santa and Votuporanguense.
What is the prediction for Água Santa vs Votuporanguense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Água Santa vs Votuporanguense?
On our numbers Água Santa have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Votuporanguense 15%.
How many goals will there be in Água Santa vs Votuporanguense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Água Santa vs Votuporanguense?
Our predicted score is Água Santa 1–0 Votuporanguense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Água Santa vs Votuporanguense?
Água Santa vs Votuporanguense (Paulista A2) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A2 · Brazil
Ituano0
XV de Piracicaba0