Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultManila Digger to win ✓71% · @1.22
Double chanceManila Digger or draw ✓89% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 12.62
Maharlika vs Manila Digger preview and prediction
The match
Maharlika host Manila Digger in the PFL on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT). Maharlika are 1st with 39 points from 24 games, while Manila Digger sit 1st on 63 points. A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Maharlika's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Tuloy 8–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Manila Digger's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Svay Rieng 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 5.7 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.4 goals: 1.3 for Maharlika and 3.1 for Manila Digger. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Maharlika 1–3 Manila Digger. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maharlika11%fair 9.01 · @8.00
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @6.00
Manila Digger71%fair 1.41 · @1.22
4.38Expected goals
1.30Maharlika xG
3.07Manila Digger xG
59%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–38%
1–28%
1–46%
0–36%
0–26%
2–35%
From our goals model: Maharlika 1.3 – 3.1 Manila Digger expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manila Digger to win✓
71%
1.41
1.22
Double chance
Manila Digger or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Manila Digger ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manila Digger / FT Manila Digger✓
51%
1.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
8%
12.62
–
Form
Maharlika – last 6
WWWDLW
12 Apr
vs Tuloy
8–0
W
29 Mar
vs Davao Aguilas
2–0
W
14 Mar
vs Garelli United
3–1
W
7 Mar
@ Philippine Army
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Dynamic Herb Cebu
0–4
L
21 Feb
@ Mendiola
4–2
W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Manila Digger – last 6
LDWWWW
16 Apr
vs Svay Rieng
0–3
L
9 Apr
@ Svay Rieng
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Philippine Army
10–0
W
25 Mar
@ Tuloy
14–0
W
21 Mar
@ Garelli United
6–2
W
18 Mar
vs Davao Aguilas
3–1
W
5.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maharlika and Manila Digger.
What is the prediction for Maharlika vs Manila Digger?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Maharlika vs Manila Digger?
On our numbers Maharlika have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Manila Digger 71%.
How many goals will there be in Maharlika vs Manila Digger?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maharlika vs Manila Digger?
Our predicted score is Maharlika 1–3 Manila Digger, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is Maharlika vs Manila Digger?
Maharlika vs Manila Digger (PFL) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
