Maharlika vs Garelli United preview and prediction
The match
Garelli United travel to face Maharlika in the PFL on Saturday 14 March (09:00 WAT). Maharlika are 1st with 39 points from 24 games, while Garelli United sit 2nd on 22 points. A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Maharlika's last 4: DLWD Most recently they drew with Philippine Army 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Garelli United's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Philippine Army 7–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 2.8 for Maharlika and 1.5 for Garelli United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maharlika 63%, draw 21%, Garelli United 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.29.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: Maharlika 2–1 Garelli United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maharlika63%fair 1.58 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @4.75
Garelli United16%fair 6.34 · @5.80
4.26Expected goals
2.80Maharlika xG
1.46Garelli United xG
70%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–18%
2–26%
1–16%
2–06%
3–26%
From our goals model: Maharlika 2.8 – 1.5 Garelli United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maharlika to win✓
63%
1.58
1.36
Double chance
Maharlika or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.44
1.29
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Maharlika ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maharlika / FT Maharlika✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.37
–
Form
Maharlika – last 4
DLWD
7 Mar
@ Philippine Army
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Dynamic Herb Cebu
0–4
L
21 Feb
@ Mendiola
4–2
W
15 Feb
@ Stallion
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Garelli United – last 6
WWLLLL
11 Mar
@ Philippine Army
7–1
W
7 Mar
vs Mendiola
4–0
W
28 Feb
@ Stallion
0–4
L
25 Feb
@ Manila Digger
1–6
L
22 Feb
vs Davao Aguilas
0–3
L
15 Feb
@ Taguig
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maharlika and Garelli United.
What is the prediction for Maharlika vs Garelli United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Maharlika vs Garelli United?
On our numbers Maharlika have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Garelli United 16%.
How many goals will there be in Maharlika vs Garelli United?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maharlika vs Garelli United?
Our predicted score is Maharlika 2–1 Garelli United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Maharlika vs Garelli United?
Maharlika vs Garelli United (PFL) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
