Arges Pitesti vs Universitatea Craiova prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Universitatea Craiova or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Universitatea Craiova to win @ 1.88 – our chance 65% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniversitatea Craiova to win ✓65% · @1.88
Double chanceUniversitatea Craiova or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓18% · fair 5.64
Arges Pitesti vs Universitatea Craiova preview and prediction
The match
Arges Pitesti host Universitatea Craiova in the Liga I on Monday 27 April, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Stadionul Orasenesc. Arges Pitesti are 13th with 15 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Universitatea Craiova sit 1st on 33 points (top of the table). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Arges Pitesti's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to CFR 1907 Cluj 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Universitatea Craiova's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Universitatea Cluj 0–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 March 2026, finished Universitatea Craiova 0–1 Arges Pitesti.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.6 for Arges Pitesti and 1.6 for Universitatea Craiova. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arges Pitesti 14%, draw 21%, Universitatea Craiova 65%.
Safer route: Universitatea Craiova or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Universitatea Craiova to win at 1.88 – 65% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Universitatea Craiova or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arges Pitesti 0–1 Universitatea Craiova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arges Pitesti14%fair 6.98 · @4.30
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.10
Universitatea Craiova65%fair 1.54 · @1.88
2.23Expected goals
0.58Arges Pitesti xG
1.65Universitatea Craiova xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–215%
0–011%
1–110%
1–28%
0–38%
From our goals model: Arges Pitesti 0.6 – 1.6 Universitatea Craiova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universitatea Craiova to win✓
65%
1.54
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Universitatea Craiova or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universitatea Craiova / FT Universitatea Craiova✓
What is the prediction for Arges Pitesti vs Universitatea Craiova?
Our pick is Universitatea Craiova or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Arges Pitesti vs Universitatea Craiova?
On our numbers Arges Pitesti have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Universitatea Craiova 65%.
How many goals will there be in Arges Pitesti vs Universitatea Craiova?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arges Pitesti vs Universitatea Craiova?
Our predicted score is Arges Pitesti 0–1 Universitatea Craiova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Arges Pitesti vs Universitatea Craiova?
Arges Pitesti vs Universitatea Craiova (Liga I) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Orasenesc.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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