Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultViking to win ✗64% · @1.40
Double chanceViking or draw ✗82% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Viking vs Aalesund preview and prediction
The match
Viking host Aalesund in the NM Cupen on Wednesday 18 March, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Lyse Arena.
Form guide
Aalesund's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Lillestrom 1–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.4 for Viking and 1.2 for Aalesund. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Viking 64%, draw 18%, Aalesund 18%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Viking 2–1 Aalesund. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Viking64%fair 1.56 · @1.40
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @4.60
Aalesund18%fair 5.63 · @5.75
3.52Expected goals
2.36Viking xG
1.16Aalesund xG
61%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–08%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Viking 2.4 – 1.2 Aalesund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Viking to win✗
64%
1.56
1.40
Double chance
Viking or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.70
Half-time result
Viking ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Viking / FT Viking✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.46
–
Form
Viking – last 2
DD
20 Feb
@ Tromso
1–1
D
17 Feb
@ Molde
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aalesund – last 3
LWL
15 Mar
vs Lillestrom
1–3
L
9 Mar
@ Egersund
3–2
W
22 Feb
vs Fredrikstad
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Viking and Aalesund.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Viking vs Aalesund?
On our numbers Viking have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Aalesund 18%.
How many goals will there be in Viking vs Aalesund?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Viking vs Aalesund?
Our predicted score is Viking 2–1 Aalesund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Viking vs Aalesund?
Viking vs Aalesund (NM Cupen) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Lyse Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
