Value bet: Grazer AK to win @ 3.25 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRied to win ✓39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Ried vs Grazer AK preview and prediction
The match
Grazer AK travel to Josko Arena in the Bundesliga on Tuesday 21 April (19:30 WAT) to face Ried. Ried are 6th with 16 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Grazer AK sit 10th on 10 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Ried's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Grazer AK 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Grazer AK's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Ried 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished Grazer AK 1–1 Ried. Across their last 2 meetings Ried have won 0, Grazer AK 1, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Ried and 1.3 for Grazer AK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 59%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ried 39%, draw 24%, Grazer AK 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Grazer AK to win at 3.25 – 37% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Ried 1–1 Grazer AK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ried39%fair 2.58 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Grazer AK37%fair 2.69 · @3.25
2.60Expected goals
1.32Ried xG
1.28Grazer AK xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ried 1.3 – 1.3 Grazer AK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Ried vs Grazer AK?
On our numbers Ried have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Grazer AK 37%.
How many goals will there be in Ried vs Grazer AK?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ried vs Grazer AK?
Our predicted score is Ried 1–1 Grazer AK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ried vs Grazer AK?
Ried vs Grazer AK (Bundesliga) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Josko Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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