Value bet: Grazer AK to win @ 2.70 – our chance 44% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGrazer AK to win ✗44% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.22
Grazer AK vs Ried preview and prediction
The match
Ried travel to Merkur-Arena in the Bundesliga on Friday 17 April (18:30 WAT) to face Grazer AK. Grazer AK are 10th with 10 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Ried sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Grazer AK's last 4: LWLD Most recently they lost to WSG Wattens 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ried's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat SCR Altach 3–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Grazer AK 2–1 Ried.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Grazer AK and 1.2 for Ried. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Grazer AK 44%, draw 23%, Ried 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Grazer AK to win at 2.70 – 44% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Grazer AK 1–1 Ried. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Grazer AK44%fair 2.29 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.10
Ried33%fair 3.02 · @2.70
2.55Expected goals
1.39Grazer AK xG
1.16Ried xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Grazer AK 1.4 – 1.2 Ried expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Grazer AK vs Ried?
On our numbers Grazer AK have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ried 33%.
How many goals will there be in Grazer AK vs Ried?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grazer AK vs Ried?
Our predicted score is Grazer AK 1–1 Ried, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Grazer AK vs Ried?
Grazer AK vs Ried (Bundesliga) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Merkur-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
