Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna prediction & analysis
75%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28
8/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: Austria Vienna to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultSturm Graz to win43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–09% · fair 11.02
Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna preview and prediction
The match
The Bundesliga sees Sturm Graz take on Austria Vienna on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Merkur-Arena. Sturm Graz are 5th with 19 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Austria Vienna sit 11th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Sturm Graz's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Lask Linz 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Austria Vienna's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Red Bull Salzburg 1–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Sturm Graz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Austria Vienna 2–5 Sturm Graz.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Sturm Graz and 1.3 for Austria Vienna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sturm Graz 43%, draw 23%, Austria Vienna 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Austria Vienna to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Sturm Graz 1–1 Austria Vienna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sturm Graz43%fair 2.35 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.50
Austria Vienna35%fair 2.88 · @3.10
2.79Expected goals
1.48Sturm Graz xG
1.31Austria Vienna xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Sturm Graz 1.5 – 1.3 Austria Vienna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna?
On our numbers Sturm Graz have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Austria Vienna 35%.
How many goals will there be in Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna?
Our predicted score is Sturm Graz 1–1 Austria Vienna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna?
Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Merkur-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
