Sturm Graz host Lask Linz in the Bundesliga on Wednesday 22 April, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Merkur-Arena. Sturm Graz are 5th with 19 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Lask Linz sit 3rd on 25 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Sturm Graz's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Lask Linz 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Lask Linz's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Sturm Graz 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Sturm Graz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Lask Linz 1–1 Sturm Graz.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Sturm Graz and 1.4 for Lask Linz. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 64%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sturm Graz 1–1 Lask Linz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sturm Graz41%fair 2.45 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
Lask Linz36%fair 2.74 · @2.55
2.87Expected goals
1.49Sturm Graz xG
1.39Lask Linz xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Sturm Graz 1.5 – 1.4 Lask Linz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz?
On our numbers Sturm Graz have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lask Linz 36%.
How many goals will there be in Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz?
Our predicted score is Sturm Graz 1–1 Lask Linz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz?
Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz (Bundesliga) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Merkur-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
