The Bundesliga sees Rapid Vienna take on Sturm Graz on Sunday 5 April, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Allianz Stadion. Rapid Vienna are 1st with 33 points from 12 games (top of the table), while Sturm Graz sit 5th on 19 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rapid Vienna's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Lask Linz 4–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sturm Graz's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Red Bull Salzburg 1–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Rapid Vienna and 1.2 for Sturm Graz. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 61%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Rapid Vienna 1–1 Sturm Graz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rapid Vienna43%fair 2.32 · @2.33
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.35
Sturm Graz35%fair 2.86 · @2.95
2.64Expected goals
1.41Rapid Vienna xG
1.23Sturm Graz xG
61%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Rapid Vienna 1.4 – 1.2 Sturm Graz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rapid Vienna to win✗
43%
2.32
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rapid Vienna / FT Rapid Vienna✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.94
–
Form
Rapid Vienna – last 6
WWWDWL
22 Mar
vs Lask Linz
4–2
W
15 Mar
@ Red Bull Salzburg
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Red Bull Salzburg
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ SCR Altach
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Wolfsberger AC
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Austria Vienna
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sturm Graz – last 5
DWWDW
20 Mar
vs Red Bull Salzburg
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Austria Vienna
5–2
W
8 Mar
vs SCR Altach
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Wolfsberger AC
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs FC BW Linz
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rapid Vienna and Sturm Graz.
What is the prediction for Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
On our numbers Rapid Vienna have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sturm Graz 35%.
How many goals will there be in Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
Our predicted score is Rapid Vienna 1–1 Sturm Graz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
