Value bet: TSV Hartberg to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAustria Vienna to win ✓39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓10% · fair 10.02
TSV Hartberg vs Austria Vienna preview and prediction
The match
TSV Hartberg host Austria Vienna in the Bundesliga on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Profertil Arena Hartberg. TSV Hartberg are 4th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Austria Vienna sit 11th on 8 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
TSV Hartberg's last 4: DDDW Most recently they drew with Lask Linz 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Austria Vienna's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Sturm Graz 2–5 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for TSV Hartberg and 1.3 for Austria Vienna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: TSV Hartberg 36%, draw 24%, Austria Vienna 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: TSV Hartberg to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: TSV Hartberg 1–1 Austria Vienna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
TSV Hartberg36%fair 2.74 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Austria Vienna39%fair 2.55 · @2.30
2.58Expected goals
1.26TSV Hartberg xG
1.32Austria Vienna xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: TSV Hartberg 1.3 – 1.3 Austria Vienna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Austria Vienna to win✓
39%
2.55
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Austria Vienna / FT Austria Vienna✓
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
10%
10.02
–
Form
TSV Hartberg – last 4
DDDW
13 Mar
@ Lask Linz
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs FC BW Linz
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Red Bull Salzburg
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Grazer AK
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Austria Vienna – last 5
LWDLW
15 Mar
vs Sturm Graz
2–5
L
8 Mar
@ Ried
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Lask Linz
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ SCR Altach
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Rapid Vienna
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between TSV Hartberg and Austria Vienna.
What is the prediction for TSV Hartberg vs Austria Vienna?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win TSV Hartberg vs Austria Vienna?
On our numbers TSV Hartberg have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Austria Vienna 39%.
How many goals will there be in TSV Hartberg vs Austria Vienna?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for TSV Hartberg vs Austria Vienna?
Our predicted score is TSV Hartberg 1–1 Austria Vienna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is TSV Hartberg vs Austria Vienna?
TSV Hartberg vs Austria Vienna (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Profertil Arena Hartberg.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
