Greenville Triumph vs Loudoun United prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Loudoun United to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLoudoun United to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.69
Greenville Triumph vs Loudoun United preview and prediction
The match
Greenville Triumph host Loudoun United in the USL League One Cup on Thursday 11 June, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Paladin Stadium. Greenville Triumph are 29th with 3 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Loudoun United sit 31st on 3 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Greenville Triumph's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Forward Madison 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Loudoun United's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Richmond Kickers 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Loudoun United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Greenville Triumph and 1.5 for Loudoun United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Greenville Triumph 38%, draw 21%, Loudoun United 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.42.
Value angle: Loudoun United to win at 2.62 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Greenville Triumph 1–1 Loudoun United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Greenville Triumph38%fair 2.62 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.75
Loudoun United41%fair 2.46 · @2.62
2.95Expected goals
1.45Greenville Triumph xG
1.50Loudoun United xG
65%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Greenville Triumph 1.4 – 1.5 Loudoun United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Loudoun United to win✗
41%
2.46
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.62
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Loudoun United / FT Loudoun United✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.69
–
Form
Greenville Triumph – last 6
WLDLLL
4 Jun
vs Forward Madison
1–0
W
29 May
@ One Knoxville
0–2
L
23 May
@ Portland Hearts of Pine
1–1
D
10 May
vs Richmond Kickers
0–3
L
3 May
@ Union Omaha
0–2
L
26 Apr
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Loudoun United – last 6
WLWLDD
6 Jun
vs Richmond Kickers
2–0
W
31 May
@ Monterey Bay
1–4
L
10 May
@ Brooklyn
1–0
W
25 Apr
vs Charleston Battery
1–2
L
19 Apr
@ Hartford Athletic
0–0
D
10 Apr
vs Louisville City
3–3
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Greenville Triumph and Loudoun United.
What is the prediction for Greenville Triumph vs Loudoun United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Greenville Triumph vs Loudoun United?
On our numbers Greenville Triumph have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Loudoun United 41%.
How many goals will there be in Greenville Triumph vs Loudoun United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Greenville Triumph vs Loudoun United?
Our predicted score is Greenville Triumph 1–1 Loudoun United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Greenville Triumph vs Loudoun United?
Greenville Triumph vs Loudoun United (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Thursday 11 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Paladin Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
