Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAustria Vienna to win ✗46% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.63
Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz preview and prediction
The match
Austria Vienna host Sturm Graz in the Bundesliga on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Generali Arena. Austria Vienna are 11th with 8 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Sturm Graz sit 5th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Austria Vienna's last 4: WDLW Most recently they beat Ried 2–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sturm Graz's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat SCR Altach 2–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sturm Graz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Austria Vienna and 1.3 for Sturm Graz. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Austria Vienna 46%, draw 22%, Sturm Graz 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Austria Vienna 1–1 Sturm Graz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Austria Vienna46%fair 2.19 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.20
Sturm Graz32%fair 3.09 · @3.10
2.80Expected goals
1.55Austria Vienna xG
1.25Sturm Graz xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Austria Vienna 1.5 – 1.3 Sturm Graz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Austria Vienna to win✗
46%
2.19
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Austria Vienna / FT Austria Vienna✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.63
–
Form
Austria Vienna – last 4
WDLW
8 Mar
@ Ried
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Lask Linz
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ SCR Altach
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Rapid Vienna
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sturm Graz – last 3
WDW
8 Mar
vs SCR Altach
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Wolfsberger AC
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs FC BW Linz
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Austria Vienna and Sturm Graz.
What is the prediction for Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
On our numbers Austria Vienna have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sturm Graz 32%.
How many goals will there be in Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
Our predicted score is Austria Vienna 1–1 Sturm Graz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Generali Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.