Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Shabab to win ✗47% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.06
Al Nasr vs Al-Shabab preview and prediction
The match
The Professional League sees Al Nasr take on Al-Shabab on Monday 16 March, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Al Nasr are 3rd with 12 points from 6 games (in the top four), while Al-Shabab sit 2nd on 12 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al-Shabab's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Sohar 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Al Nasr and 1.4 for Al-Shabab. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Nasr 30%, draw 23%, Al-Shabab 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.90 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Al Nasr 1–1 Al-Shabab. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Nasr30%fair 3.33 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Al-Shabab47%fair 2.14 · @2.20
2.41Expected goals
1.03Al Nasr xG
1.38Al-Shabab xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–29%
From our goals model: Al Nasr 1.0 – 1.4 Al-Shabab expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Shabab to win✗
47%
2.14
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.90 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Shabab / FT Al-Shabab✗
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.06
–
Form
Al Nasr – last 2
DW
12 Mar
@ Al Seeb
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Sur
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Al-Shabab – last 4
WWWW
11 Mar
vs Sohar
2–1
W
25 Feb
vs Al-Nahda
3–1
W
20 Feb
vs Al-Khabourah
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Ibri
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Nasr and Al-Shabab.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Al Nasr vs Al-Shabab?
On our numbers Al Nasr have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al-Shabab 47%.
How many goals will there be in Al Nasr vs Al-Shabab?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Nasr vs Al-Shabab?
Our predicted score is Al Nasr 1–1 Al-Shabab, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Al Nasr vs Al-Shabab?
Al Nasr vs Al-Shabab (Professional League) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al-Khabourah0
Al-Rustaq2