Value bet: Brondby to win @ 2.95 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAarhus to win40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–19% · fair 11.37
Brondby vs Aarhus preview and prediction
The match
Aarhus travel to face Brondby in the Superliga on Sunday 10 May (17:00 WAT). Brondby are 5th with 22 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Aarhus sit 8th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Brondby's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with FC Nordsjaelland 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aarhus's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with FC Nordsjaelland 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Brondby and 1.4 for Aarhus. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Brondby 37%, draw 23%, Aarhus 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Brondby to win at 2.95 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Brondby 1–1 Aarhus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brondby37%fair 2.69 · @2.95
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.55
Aarhus40%fair 2.48 · @2.25
2.79Expected goals
1.36Brondby xG
1.43Aarhus xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Brondby 1.4 – 1.4 Aarhus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aarhus to win
40%
2.48
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.66
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.82
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
67%
1.50
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aarhus / FT Aarhus
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
9%
11.37
–
Form
Brondby – last 6
DWWLLD
1 May
vs FC Nordsjaelland
1–1
D
22 Apr
@ Viborg
1–0
W
17 Apr
vs Sonderjyske
6–0
W
7 Apr
@ FC Nordsjaelland
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Viborg
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ FC Midtjylland
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Aarhus – last 6
DLDWDD
23 Apr
@ FC Nordsjaelland
1–1
D
20 Apr
@ FC Midtjylland
1–2
L
10 Apr
vs FC Nordsjaelland
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Viborg
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Sonderjyske
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ FC Midtjylland
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brondby and Aarhus.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Brondby vs Aarhus?
On our numbers Brondby have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aarhus 40%.
How many goals will there be in Brondby vs Aarhus?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brondby vs Aarhus?
Our predicted score is Brondby 1–1 Aarhus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Brondby vs Aarhus?
Brondby vs Aarhus (Superliga) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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