Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
FC Midtjylland to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Midtjylland to win ✓66% · @1.57
Double chanceFC Midtjylland or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.47
Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland preview and prediction
The match
Sonderjyske host FC Midtjylland in the Superliga on Thursday 23 April, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Sydbank Park. Sonderjyske are 12th with 9 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while FC Midtjylland sit 2nd on 32 points (in the top four). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sonderjyske's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Brondby 0–6 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
FC Midtjylland's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Aarhus 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Midtjylland arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 0.9 for Sonderjyske and 2.2 for FC Midtjylland. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sonderjyske 14%, draw 20%, FC Midtjylland 66%.
Safer route: FC Midtjylland or draw (86%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Midtjylland to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sonderjyske 0–2 FC Midtjylland. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sonderjyske14%fair 7.28 · @5.10
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @4.10
FC Midtjylland66%fair 1.50 · @1.57
3.17Expected goals
0.93Sonderjyske xG
2.24FC Midtjylland xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Sonderjyske 0.9 – 2.2 FC Midtjylland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Midtjylland to win✓
66%
1.50
1.57
Double chance
FC Midtjylland or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.57
Half-time result
FC Midtjylland ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Midtjylland / FT FC Midtjylland✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.47
–
Form
Sonderjyske – last 6
LLLDWD
17 Apr
@ Brondby
0–6
L
12 Apr
vs Viborg
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ FC Nordsjaelland
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Aarhus
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Odense
1–0
W
23 Feb
@ Brondby
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
FC Midtjylland – last 6
WWDDWW
20 Apr
vs Aarhus
2–1
W
12 Mar
@ Nottingham Forest
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Aarhus
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Brondby
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Silkeborg
4–0
W
15 Feb
@ Odense
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sonderjyske and FC Midtjylland.
What is the prediction for Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland?
Our pick is FC Midtjylland to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland?
On our numbers Sonderjyske have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Midtjylland 66%.
How many goals will there be in Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland?
Our predicted score is Sonderjyske 0–2 FC Midtjylland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland?
Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland (Superliga) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Sydbank Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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