Value bet: Aarhus to win @ 3.60 – our chance 32% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Midtjylland to win ✓47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.84
FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus preview and prediction
The match
Aarhus travel to MCH Arena in the Superliga on Monday 20 April (18:00 WAT) to face FC Midtjylland. FC Midtjylland are 2nd with 32 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Aarhus sit 8th on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Midtjylland's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Nottingham Forest 1–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aarhus's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with FC Nordsjaelland 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished FC Midtjylland 1–1 Aarhus.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for FC Midtjylland and 1.3 for Aarhus. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Midtjylland 47%, draw 21%, Aarhus 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Aarhus to win at 3.60 – 32% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: FC Midtjylland 1–1 Aarhus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Midtjylland47%fair 2.13 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
Aarhus32%fair 3.11 · @3.60
2.96Expected goals
1.65FC Midtjylland xG
1.31Aarhus xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: FC Midtjylland 1.6 – 1.3 Aarhus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus?
On our numbers FC Midtjylland have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aarhus 32%.
How many goals will there be in FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus?
Our predicted score is FC Midtjylland 1–1 Aarhus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus?
FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus (Superliga) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at MCH Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
