Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.62 – our chance 51% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +34%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJamaica to win ✓79% · @1.05
Double chanceJamaica or draw ✓95% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗9% · fair 10.79
New Caledonia vs Jamaica preview and prediction
The match
New Caledonia host Jamaica in the World Cup Qualification Intercontinental Play Offs on Friday 27 March, with kick-off at 04:00 (WAT) at Estadio Akron.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 0.9 for New Caledonia and 3.1 for Jamaica. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 75% and both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: New Caledonia 5%, draw 16%, Jamaica 79%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.62.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.62 – 51% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: New Caledonia 0–3 Jamaica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New Caledonia5%fair 18.34 · @32.00
Draw16%fair 6.25 · @12.00
Jamaica79%fair 1.27 · @1.05
3.95Expected goals
0.88New Caledonia xG
3.07Jamaica xG
51%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–39%
0–29%
1–38%
1–28%
0–47%
1–46%
From our goals model: New Caledonia 0.9 – 3.1 Jamaica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jamaica to win✓
79%
1.27
1.05
Double chance
Jamaica or draw✓
95%
1.06
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.62 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
1.06
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
75%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.65
Half-time result
Jamaica ahead at half-time✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jamaica / FT Jamaica✓
58%
1.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
9%
10.79
–
Form
New Caledonia
No recent results on record.
Jamaica
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New Caledonia and Jamaica.
What is the prediction for New Caledonia vs Jamaica?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win New Caledonia vs Jamaica?
On our numbers New Caledonia have a 5% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Jamaica 79%.
How many goals will there be in New Caledonia vs Jamaica?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New Caledonia vs Jamaica?
Our predicted score is New Caledonia 0–3 Jamaica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is New Caledonia vs Jamaica?
New Caledonia vs Jamaica (World Cup Qualification Intercontinental Play Offs) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
