Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.40Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.15 – our chance 58% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +82%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗58% · @3.15
Double chanceBolivia or draw ✓81% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.61
Bolivia vs Suriname preview and prediction
The match
The World Cup Qualification Intercontinental Play Offs sees Bolivia take on Suriname on Thursday 26 March, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio BBVA.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Bolivia and 1.1 for Suriname. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bolivia 23%, draw 58%, Suriname 19%.
Safer route: Bolivia or draw (81%) at 1.40.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Draw at 3.15 – 58% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bolivia or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bolivia 1–1 Suriname. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bolivia23%fair 4.40 · @2.46
Draw58%fair 1.73 · @3.15
Suriname19%fair 5.16 · @2.88
2.36Expected goals
1.21Bolivia xG
1.14Suriname xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Bolivia 1.2 – 1.1 Suriname expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
58%
1.73
3.15 ▲
Double chance
Bolivia or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bolivia / FT Bolivia✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.61
–
Form
Bolivia
No recent results on record.
Suriname
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bolivia and Suriname.
Our pick is Bolivia or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Bolivia vs Suriname?
On our numbers Bolivia have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 58% and Suriname 19%.
How many goals will there be in Bolivia vs Suriname?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bolivia vs Suriname?
Our predicted score is Bolivia 1–1 Suriname, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Bolivia vs Suriname?
Bolivia vs Suriname (World Cup Qualification Intercontinental Play Offs) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio BBVA.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
