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Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio Jose Antonio Valle

Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Circulo Deportivo prediction & analysis

69%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultKimberley Mar del Plata to win ✗65% · @1.40
Double chanceKimberley Mar del Plata or draw ✓85% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · @1.33
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.37

Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Circulo Deportivo preview and prediction

The match

Kimberley Mar del Plata host Circulo Deportivo in the Torneo Federal A on Friday 24 July, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Jose Antonio Valle. Kimberley Mar del Plata are 8th with 26 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Circulo Deportivo sit 37th on 13 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Kimberley Mar del Plata's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Sol de Mayo 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Circulo Deportivo's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Sol de Mayo 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.

Kimberley Mar del Plata arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Circulo Deportivo 0–1 Kimberley Mar del Plata.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.4 for Kimberley Mar del Plata and 0.4 for Circulo Deportivo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Kimberley Mar del Plata 1–0 Circulo Deportivo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Kimberley Mar del Plata65%fair 1.55 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.50
Circulo Deportivo15%fair 6.88 · @8.50
1.79Expected goals
1.38Kimberley Mar del Plata xG
0.42Circulo Deportivo xG
42%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–023%
0–017%
2–016%
1–110%
3–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Kimberley Mar del Plata 1.4 – 0.4 Circulo Deportivo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKimberley Mar del Plata to win ✗65%1.551.40
Double chanceKimberley Mar del Plata or draw ✓85%1.171.04
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗58%1.711.33
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓57%1.751.53
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69%1.451.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.171.14
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓51%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kimberley Mar del Plata / FT Kimberley Mar del Plata ✗37%2.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23%4.37–

Form

Kimberley Mar del Plata – last 6

WWDDLW
5 Jul@ Sol de Mayo2–1W
28 Junvs Guillermo Brown3–0W
20 Jun@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca0–0D
14 Junvs Alvarado2–2D
7 Jun@ Santamarina0–1L
30 Mayvs Germinal de Rawson1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Circulo Deportivo – last 6

WLDLDD
12 Julvs Sol de Mayo3–1W
5 Jul@ Guillermo Brown0–1L
28 Junvs Olimpo Bahia Blanca1–1D
20 Jun@ Alvarado0–1L
14 Junvs Santamarina0–0D
7 Jun@ Germinal de Rawson0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Circulo Deportivo v Kimberley Mar del Plata0–1
Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Circulo Deportivo head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Circulo Deportivo?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Circulo Deportivo?

On our numbers Kimberley Mar del Plata have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Circulo Deportivo 15%.

How many goals will there be in Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Circulo Deportivo?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Circulo Deportivo?

Our predicted score is Kimberley Mar del Plata 1–0 Circulo Deportivo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Circulo Deportivo?

Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Circulo Deportivo (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Antonio Valle.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.