Costa Brava vs Deportivo Rincon prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Costa Brava to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCosta Brava to win ✗66% · @1.62
Double chanceCosta Brava or draw ✗88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.58
Costa Brava vs Deportivo Rincon preview and prediction
The match
Costa Brava host Deportivo Rincon in the Torneo Federal A on Saturday 25 July, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu. Costa Brava are 27th with 18 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Rincon sit 22nd on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Costa Brava's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Huracan Las Heras 0–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Rincon's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Huracan Las Heras 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Costa Brava arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Deportivo Rincon 1–0 Costa Brava.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.5 for Costa Brava and 0.4 for Deportivo Rincon. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Costa Brava 66%, draw 22%, Deportivo Rincon 12%.
Both teams to score: no (58%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Costa Brava to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Costa Brava 1–0 Deportivo Rincon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Costa Brava66%fair 1.52 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.20
Deportivo Rincon12%fair 8.30 · @5.25
1.92Expected goals
1.49Costa Brava xG
0.43Deportivo Rincon xG
42%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–016%
0–015%
1–19%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Costa Brava 1.5 – 0.4 Deportivo Rincon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Costa Brava vs Deportivo Rincon?
Our pick is Costa Brava to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Costa Brava vs Deportivo Rincon?
On our numbers Costa Brava have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportivo Rincon 12%.
How many goals will there be in Costa Brava vs Deportivo Rincon?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Costa Brava vs Deportivo Rincon?
Our predicted score is Costa Brava 1–0 Deportivo Rincon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Costa Brava vs Deportivo Rincon?
Costa Brava vs Deportivo Rincon (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
