Alvarado vs Circulo Deportivo prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlvarado to win ✓63% · @1.33
Double chanceAlvarado or draw ✓85% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · @1.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓22% · fair 4.55
Alvarado vs Circulo Deportivo preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Alvarado take on Circulo Deportivo on Saturday 20 June, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT). Alvarado are 5th with 27 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Circulo Deportivo sit 37th on 13 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Alvarado's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Kimberley Mar del Plata 2–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Circulo Deportivo's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Santamarina 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Alvarado arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.4 for Alvarado and 0.5 for Circulo Deportivo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alvarado 63%, draw 21%, Circulo Deportivo 15%.
Both teams to score: no (61%) at 1.30.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Alvarado 1–0 Circulo Deportivo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alvarado63%fair 1.58 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.90
Circulo Deportivo15%fair 6.51 · @9.50
1.84Expected goals
1.38Alvarado xG
0.46Circulo Deportivo xG
39%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
0–016%
2–015%
1–110%
0–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Alvarado 1.4 – 0.5 Circulo Deportivo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alvarado to win✓
63%
1.58
1.33
Double chance
Alvarado or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.30
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alvarado / FT Alvarado✓
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
22%
4.55
–
Form
Alvarado – last 6
DWDWDW
14 Jun
@ Kimberley Mar del Plata
2–2
D
7 Jun
vs Sol de Mayo
2–0
W
31 May
@ Guillermo Brown
0–0
D
24 May
vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ Sol de Mayo
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Guillermo Brown
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Circulo Deportivo – last 5
DDLLL
14 Jun
vs Santamarina
0–0
D
7 Jun
@ Germinal de Rawson
0–0
D
17 May
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–1
L
27 Apr
@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Villa Mitre
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alvarado and Circulo Deportivo.
What is the prediction for Alvarado vs Circulo Deportivo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Alvarado vs Circulo Deportivo?
On our numbers Alvarado have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Circulo Deportivo 15%.
How many goals will there be in Alvarado vs Circulo Deportivo?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alvarado vs Circulo Deportivo?
Our predicted score is Alvarado 1–0 Circulo Deportivo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Alvarado vs Circulo Deportivo?
Alvarado vs Circulo Deportivo (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
