Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Strasbourg to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultStrasbourg to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceStrasbourg or draw ✗86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Strasbourg vs Nice preview and prediction
The match
Strasbourg host Nice in the Coupe De France on Wednesday 22 April, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stade de la Meinau.
Form guide
Strasbourg's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat FSV Mainz 05 4–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Nice's last 4: LLDL Most recently they lost to Rennes 0–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Strasbourg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Strasbourg and 1.0 for Nice. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Strasbourg 63%, draw 23%, Nice 14%.
Safer route: Strasbourg or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Strasbourg to win at 1.75 – 63% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Strasbourg or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Strasbourg 2–0 Nice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Strasbourg63%fair 1.58 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.80
Nice14%fair 7.21 · @4.30
3.14Expected goals
2.17Strasbourg xG
0.97Nice xG
56%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Strasbourg 2.2 – 1.0 Nice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Strasbourg to win✗
63%
1.58
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Strasbourg or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.38
Half-time result
Strasbourg ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Strasbourg / FT Strasbourg✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Form
Strasbourg – last 6
WLDDWW
16 Apr
vs FSV Mainz 05
4–0
W
9 Apr
@ FSV Mainz 05
0–2
L
19 Mar
vs HNK Rijeka
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Paris FC
0–0
D
12 Mar
@ HNK Rijeka
2–1
W
3 Mar
vs Reims
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nice – last 4
LLDL
8 Mar
vs Rennes
0–4
L
1 Mar
@ Paris FC
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Lorient
3–3
D
15 Feb
@ Lyon
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Strasbourg and Nice.
Our pick is Strasbourg or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Strasbourg vs Nice?
On our numbers Strasbourg have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nice 14%.
How many goals will there be in Strasbourg vs Nice?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Strasbourg vs Nice?
Our predicted score is Strasbourg 2–0 Nice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Strasbourg vs Nice?
Strasbourg vs Nice (Coupe De France) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Meinau.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
