Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLens to win ✓67% · @1.54
Double chanceLens or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Lens vs Toulouse preview and prediction
The match
Lens host Toulouse in the Coupe De France on Tuesday 21 April, with kick-off at 20:10 (WAT) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.
Form guide
Lens's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Toulouse 3–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Toulouse's last 4: LLWL Most recently they lost to Lens 2–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Lens arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished Lens 3–2 Toulouse.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Lens and 1.0 for Toulouse. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lens 67%, draw 19%, Toulouse 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Lens 2–0 Toulouse. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lens67%fair 1.49 · @1.54
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @4.00
Toulouse14%fair 7.06 · @5.80
3.32Expected goals
2.33Lens xG
0.99Toulouse xG
60%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–08%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: Lens 2.3 – 1.0 Toulouse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lens vs Toulouse?
On our numbers Lens have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Toulouse 14%.
How many goals will there be in Lens vs Toulouse?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lens vs Toulouse?
Our predicted score is Lens 2–0 Toulouse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Lens vs Toulouse?
Lens vs Toulouse (Coupe De France) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 20:10 (West Africa Time) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
