Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultQarabag to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.25
Qarabag vs Sabah FA preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Qarabag take on Sabah FA on Friday 3 April, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Azersun Arena.
Form guide
Qarabag's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Kapaz 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Sabah FA's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Sumqayıt 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sabah FA arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Qarabag 3–3 Sabah FA.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.8 for Qarabag and 1.5 for Sabah FA. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Qarabag 45%, draw 22%, Sabah FA 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Qarabag 1–1 Sabah FA. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Qarabag45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.10
Sabah FA33%fair 3.01 · @3.30
3.33Expected goals
1.80Qarabag xG
1.53Sabah FA xG
64%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: Qarabag 1.8 – 1.5 Sabah FA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Qarabag vs Sabah FA?
On our numbers Qarabag have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sabah FA 33%.
How many goals will there be in Qarabag vs Sabah FA?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qarabag vs Sabah FA?
Our predicted score is Qarabag 1–1 Sabah FA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Qarabag vs Sabah FA?
Qarabag vs Sabah FA (Cup) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Azersun Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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