Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Babrungas to win @ 2.63 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultBabrungas to win44% · @2.63
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.56
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.25
Babrungas vs Minija preview and prediction
The match
The 1 Lyga sees Babrungas take on Minija on Friday 29 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Babrungas are 2nd with 74 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Minija sit 1st on 74 points (top of the table). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Babrungas's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Jonava 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Minija's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Tauras 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
Minija arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.7 for Babrungas and 1.5 for Minija. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Babrungas 44%, draw 21%, Minija 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.56.
Value angle: Babrungas to win at 2.63 – 44% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Babrungas 1–1 Minija. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Babrungas44%fair 2.27 · @2.63
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.30
Minija35%fair 2.84 · @2.32
3.13Expected goals
1.67Babrungas xG
1.46Minija xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Babrungas 1.7 – 1.5 Minija expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Babrungas to win
44%
2.27
2.63 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
62%
1.60
1.56
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.74
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
64%
1.56
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Babrungas / FT Babrungas
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.25
–
Form
Babrungas – last 6
DDWLWW
22 May
@ Jonava
1–1
D
9 May
@ Atmosfera
1–1
D
1 May
vs BFA
4–0
W
28 Apr
@ BFA
0–1
L
24 Apr
vs Garliava
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Neptūną Klaipėda
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Minija – last 6
WDWWWW
23 May
vs Tauras
2–1
W
19 May
@ Pempininkai Gargždai
1–1
D
9 May
vs Dainava
3–1
W
3 May
@ Transinvest 2
7–1
W
19 Apr
@ Kauno Žalgiris II
4–0
W
4 Apr
vs Ekranas
2–1
W
3.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Babrungas and Minija.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Babrungas vs Minija?
On our numbers Babrungas have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Minija 35%.
How many goals will there be in Babrungas vs Minija?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Babrungas vs Minija?
Our predicted score is Babrungas 1–1 Minija, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Babrungas vs Minija?
Babrungas vs Minija (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
