Value bet: Babrungas to win @ 1.87 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBabrungas to win ✗57% · @1.87
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.24
Jonava vs Babrungas preview and prediction
The match
Jonava host Babrungas in the 1 Lyga on Friday 22 May, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Jonavos centrinis stadionas. Jonava are 10th with 32 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Babrungas sit 2nd on 74 points (in the top four). A gap of 42 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Jonava's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Neptūną Klaipėda 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Babrungas's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Atmosfera 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Babrungas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.0 for Jonava and 1.8 for Babrungas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jonava 23%, draw 21%, Babrungas 57%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Babrungas to win at 1.87 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Jonava 1–1 Babrungas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jonava23%fair 4.44 · @3.60
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.35
Babrungas57%fair 1.76 · @1.87
2.81Expected goals
1.02Jonava xG
1.79Babrungas xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–210%
1–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Jonava 1.0 – 1.8 Babrungas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Babrungas to win✗
57%
1.76
1.87 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.35
Half-time result
Babrungas ahead at half-time✓
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Babrungas / FT Babrungas✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.24
–
Form
Jonava – last 5
LLDWD
8 May
vs Neptūną Klaipėda
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Šiauliai
0–4
L
19 Apr
@ FA Šiauliai II
2–2
D
4 Apr
vs Kauno Žalgiris II
3–1
W
18 Mar
vs Be1 NFA
2–2
D
1.4Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Babrungas – last 6
DWLWWW
9 May
@ Atmosfera
1–1
D
1 May
vs BFA
4–0
W
28 Apr
@ BFA
0–1
L
24 Apr
vs Garliava
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Neptūną Klaipėda
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Dainava
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jonava and Babrungas.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Jonava vs Babrungas?
On our numbers Jonava have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Babrungas 57%.
How many goals will there be in Jonava vs Babrungas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jonava vs Babrungas?
Our predicted score is Jonava 1–1 Babrungas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Jonava vs Babrungas?
Jonava vs Babrungas (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Jonavos centrinis stadionas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
