1. Liga · Latvia
Riga Mariners
Leevon PPK
Riga Mariners vs Leevon PPK prediction & analysis
Riga Mariners or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Riga Mariners 2.3 – 1.2 Leevon PPK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Riga Mariners are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 19% for Leevon PPK.
Riga Mariners have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 3.0 and conceding 2.5 per game. Leevon PPK have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.6 goals (2.3 for Riga Mariners, 1.2 for Leevon PPK). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 2–0 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Riga Mariners have won 0, Leevon PPK have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Riga Mariners or draw at a 81% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.21 is close to our fair price of 1.24.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Riga Mariners to win ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.70 |
| Double chance | Riga Mariners or draw ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.08 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.42 | 1.26 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | 1.77 |
| Half-time result | Riga Mariners ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Riga Mariners / FT Riga Mariners ✗ | 40% | 2.48 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✓ | 9% | 10.58 | – |
Form
Riga Mariners – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs JDFS Alberts | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Mārupe | 6–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Skanste | 4–3 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Metta LU | 0–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Valmiera BSS | 4–2 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Smiltene | 1–4 | L |
Leevon PPK – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Valmiera BSS | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Metta LU | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs JDFS Alberts | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ JFK Ventspils | 4–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Rīgas FS II | 6–3 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Riga FC II | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 18 Jul 2026 | Leevon PPK v Riga Mariners | 2–1 |
More 1. Liga predictions
Rēzekne FA0
Smiltene5
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
73%@1.25
✓
FT
Rīgas FS II3
Tukums II0
1Rīgas FS II to win
65%@1.69
✓
FT
Super Nova 20
Riga FC II1
2Riga FC II to win
64%@1.82
✓
FT
Valmiera BSS3
Skanste2
GGBoth teams to score
60%@1.55
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Riga Mariners vs Leevon PPK?
Our pick is Riga Mariners or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Riga Mariners vs Leevon PPK?
On our numbers Riga Mariners have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Leevon PPK 19%.
How many goals will there be in Riga Mariners vs Leevon PPK?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
When is Riga Mariners vs Leevon PPK?
Riga Mariners vs Leevon PPK (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.