1. Liga · Latvia

Rīgas FS II

WLWLL
3–0
FT

Tukums II

DLDLW

Rīgas FS II vs Tukums II prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Rīgas FS II to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.69 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.69Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultRīgas FS II to win ✓65% · @1.69
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.23

Win chances

Rīgas FS II65%fair 1.54 · @1.69
Draw14%fair 7.05 · @3.98
Tukums II21%fair 4.79 · @3.76
3.89Expected goals
2.53Rīgas FS II xG
1.35Tukums II xG
67%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–07%
2–26%
3–06%

From our goals model: Rīgas FS II 2.5 – 1.4 Tukums II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Rīgas FS II are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 21% for Tukums II.

Rīgas FS II have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 3.0 per game. Tukums II have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.

We expect around 3.9 goals (2.5 for Rīgas FS II, 1.4 for Tukums II). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 3–1 (8%), 1–1 (7%).

In their last 1 meeting, Rīgas FS II have won 0, Tukums II have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Rīgas FS II to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.69 is better than our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRīgas FS II to win ✓65%1.541.69 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86%1.171.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗67%1.491.35
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.131.06
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72%1.401.32
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗52%1.941.88
Half-time resultRīgas FS II ahead at half-time ✓48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rīgas FS II / FT Rīgas FS II ✓42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.23–

Form

Rīgas FS II – last 6

WLWLLL
31 Oct@ Super Nova 24–2W
25 Oct@ Riga FC II0–3L
18 Oct@ Rēzekne FA1–0W
10 Octvs Mārupe2–3L
19 Sep@ Leevon PPK3–6L
14 Sepvs Skanste3–4L
2.2Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Tukums II – last 6

DLDLWW
31 Octvs Riga FC II1–1D
22 Octvs Super Nova 20–3L
18 Oct@ Valmiera BSS2–2D
11 Oct@ Smiltene2–3L
26 Sepvs JFK Ventspils1–0W
19 Sepvs Rēzekne FA3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Jul 2026Tukums II v Rīgas FS II2–0

More 1. Liga predictions

FT Rēzekne FA0 Smiltene5 171766 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 73%@1.25 ✓ FT Riga Mariners2 Leevon PPK1 621919 1XRiga Mariners or draw 81%@1.21 ✓ FT Super Nova 20 Riga FC II1 231364 2Riga FC II to win 64%@1.82 ✓ FT Valmiera BSS3 Skanste2 75178 GGBoth teams to score 60%@1.55 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rīgas FS II vs Tukums II?

Our pick is Rīgas FS II to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.69.

Who will win Rīgas FS II vs Tukums II?

On our numbers Rīgas FS II have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Tukums II 21%.

How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS II vs Tukums II?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

When is Rīgas FS II vs Tukums II?

Rīgas FS II vs Tukums II (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.