1. Liga · Latvia

Rēzekne FA

LLLLL
0–5
FT

Smiltene

DWDWW

Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSmiltene to win ✓66% · @1.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.21

Win chances

Rēzekne FA17%fair 5.73 · @9.00
Draw17%fair 6.00 · @5.60
Smiltene66%fair 1.52 · @1.22
3.89Expected goals
1.29Rēzekne FA xG
2.60Smiltene xG
64%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
1–17%
0–36%
2–26%

From our goals model: Rēzekne FA 1.3 – 2.6 Smiltene expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Smiltene travel as clear favourites – 66% to win, against 17% for Rēzekne FA.

Rēzekne FA have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 4.0 per game. Smiltene have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 2.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. Smiltene come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.9 goals (1.3 for Rēzekne FA, 2.6 for Smiltene). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (9%), 1–3 (8%), 0–2 (7%).

In their last 1 meeting, Rēzekne FA have won 0, Smiltene have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.36.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSmiltene to win ✓66%1.521.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.201.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.551.53
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.131.07
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.361.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓54%1.841.69
Half-time resultSmiltene ahead at half-time ✓50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Smiltene / FT Smiltene ✓44%2.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.21–

Form

Rēzekne FA – last 6

LLLLLD
31 Oct@ JFK Ventspils0–8L
25 Oct@ JDFS Alberts0–5L
18 Octvs Rīgas FS II0–1L
11 Oct@ Riga FC II0–5L
19 Sep@ Tukums II1–3L
11 Sepvs Super Nova 22–2D
0.5Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Smiltene – last 6

DWDWWW
31 Octvs Mārupe1–1D
24 Oct@ Skanste3–1W
17 Octvs Riga FC II2–2D
11 Octvs Tukums II3–2W
19 Sep@ Super Nova 22–0W
12 Sepvs Riga Mariners4–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Jul 2026Smiltene v Rēzekne FA1–0

More 1. Liga predictions

FT Rīgas FS II3 Tukums II0 651421 1Rīgas FS II to win 65%@1.69 ✓ FT Riga Mariners2 Leevon PPK1 621919 1XRiga Mariners or draw 81%@1.21 ✓ FT Super Nova 20 Riga FC II1 231364 2Riga FC II to win 64%@1.82 ✓ FT Valmiera BSS3 Skanste2 75178 GGBoth teams to score 60%@1.55 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene?

On our numbers Rēzekne FA have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Smiltene 66%.

How many goals will there be in Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

When is Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene?

Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.