Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJFK Ventspils to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.79
Tukums II vs JFK Ventspils preview and prediction
The match
JFK Ventspils travel to face Tukums II in the 1. Liga on Saturday 26 September (15:00 WAT). Tukums II are 12th with 20 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while JFK Ventspils sit 13th on 19 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Tukums II's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Rēzekne FA 3–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 3.3 conceded.
JFK Ventspils's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Skanste 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.7 for Tukums II and 1.9 for JFK Ventspils. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tukums II 36%, draw 19%, JFK Ventspils 45%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Tukums II 1–2 JFK Ventspils. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tukums II36%fair 2.76 · @2.70
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @3.80
JFK Ventspils45%fair 2.23 · @2.10
3.55Expected goals
1.67Tukums II xG
1.88JFK Ventspils xG
56%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–35%
From our goals model: Tukums II 1.7 – 1.9 JFK Ventspils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
JFK Ventspils to win✗
45%
2.23
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT JFK Ventspils / FT JFK Ventspils✗
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.79
–
Form
Tukums II – last 6
WLLLLD
19 Sep
vs Rēzekne FA
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Mārupe
0–5
L
6 Sep
vs Leevon PPK
0–3
L
30 Aug
@ Skanste
2–6
L
9 Aug
@ Riga Mariners
2–4
L
3 Aug
vs JDFS Alberts
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
JFK Ventspils – last 6
WLLDLL
20 Sep
vs Skanste
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Metta LU
0–7
L
5 Sep
@ Rīgas FS II
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Riga FC II
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Super Nova 2
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Smiltene
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tukums II and JFK Ventspils.
What is the prediction for Tukums II vs JFK Ventspils?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Tukums II vs JFK Ventspils?
On our numbers Tukums II have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 19% and JFK Ventspils 45%.
How many goals will there be in Tukums II vs JFK Ventspils?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tukums II vs JFK Ventspils?
Our predicted score is Tukums II 1–2 JFK Ventspils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Tukums II vs JFK Ventspils?
Tukums II vs JFK Ventspils (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
