Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Valmiera BSS vs Mārupe preview and prediction
The match
Mārupe travel to face Valmiera BSS in the 1. Liga on Saturday 22 August (13:00 WAT). Valmiera BSS are 2nd with 60 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Mārupe sit 7th on 34 points (in the top half). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Valmiera BSS's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Smiltene 4–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Mārupe's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Super Nova 2 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Valmiera BSS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.6 for Valmiera BSS and 0.9 for Mārupe. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Valmiera BSS to win – a 73% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Valmiera BSS 2–0 Mārupe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valmiera BSS73%fair 1.38 · @1.20
Draw15%fair 6.48 · @6.25
Mārupe12%fair 8.42 · @9.00
3.53Expected goals
2.58Valmiera BSS xG
0.95Mārupe xG
53%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–08%
1–17%
From our goals model: Valmiera BSS 2.6 – 0.9 Mārupe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valmiera BSS to win✓
73%
1.38
1.20
Double chance
Valmiera BSS or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Valmiera BSS ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valmiera BSS / FT Valmiera BSS✓
49%
2.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.25
–
Form
Valmiera BSS – last 6
WWWWDW
8 Aug
@ Smiltene
4–1
W
1 Aug
vs Rīgas FS II
2–1
W
27 Jul
vs Riga FC II
3–0
W
18 Jul
@ Skanste
3–0
W
12 Jul
vs Ogre United
2–2
D
5 Jul
vs Leevon PPK
4–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Mārupe – last 6
WLLWLL
15 Aug
vs Super Nova 2
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Leevon PPK
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Skanste
2–4
L
25 Jul
@ Rēzekne FA
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Metta LU
0–4
L
12 Jul
vs Grobiņa
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valmiera BSS and Mārupe.
What is the prediction for Valmiera BSS vs Mārupe?
Our pick is Valmiera BSS to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Valmiera BSS vs Mārupe?
On our numbers Valmiera BSS have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Mārupe 12%.
How many goals will there be in Valmiera BSS vs Mārupe?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valmiera BSS vs Mārupe?
Our predicted score is Valmiera BSS 2–0 Mārupe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Valmiera BSS vs Mārupe?
Valmiera BSS vs Mārupe (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
