Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJFK Ventspils to win ✗60% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Liga sees JFK Ventspils take on Smiltene on Sunday 2 August, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). JFK Ventspils are 13th with 19 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Smiltene sit 9th on 27 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
JFK Ventspils's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Riga Mariners 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Smiltene's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Rīgas FS II 3–5 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for JFK Ventspils and 1.2 for Smiltene. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: JFK Ventspils 60%, draw 18%, Smiltene 22%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: JFK Ventspils 2–1 Smiltene. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
JFK Ventspils60%fair 1.67 · @1.73
Draw18%fair 5.48 · @3.80
Smiltene22%fair 4.58 · @3.60
3.31Expected goals
2.12JFK Ventspils xG
1.19Smiltene xG
51%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: JFK Ventspils 2.1 – 1.2 Smiltene expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
JFK Ventspils to win✗
60%
1.67
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
JFK Ventspils ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT JFK Ventspils / FT JFK Ventspils✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.23
–
Form
JFK Ventspils – last 6
DLWDLL
25 Jul
@ Riga Mariners
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs JDFS Alberts
1–3
L
11 Jul
@ Skanste
3–0
W
4 Jul
@ Rēzekne FA
1–1
D
28 Jun
vs Valmiera BSS
0–2
L
20 Jun
vs Leevon PPK
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Smiltene – last 6
LWLLLL
25 Jul
vs Rīgas FS II
3–5
L
19 Jul
vs Rēzekne FA
1–0
W
4 Jul
@ Mārupe
1–2
L
28 Jun
vs Skanste
2–4
L
22 Jun
vs Valmiera BSS
1–4
L
14 Jun
@ Riga FC II
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between JFK Ventspils and Smiltene.
What is the prediction for JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene?
On our numbers JFK Ventspils have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Smiltene 22%.
How many goals will there be in JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene?
Our predicted score is JFK Ventspils 2–1 Smiltene, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene?
JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene (1. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
