Super Nova 2 vs Riga Mariners prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRiga Mariners to win ✓58% · @1.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Super Nova 2 vs Riga Mariners preview and prediction
The match
Super Nova 2 host Riga Mariners in the 1. Liga on Friday 31 July, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Sporta centrs Krasts. Super Nova 2 are 8th with 29 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Riga Mariners sit 3rd on 59 points (in the top four). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Super Nova 2's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with JDFS Alberts 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Riga Mariners's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with JFK Ventspils 1–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Riga Mariners arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.2 for Super Nova 2 and 2.0 for Riga Mariners. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Super Nova 2 23%, draw 20%, Riga Mariners 58%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Super Nova 2 1–1 Riga Mariners. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Super Nova 223%fair 4.42 · @4.00
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @4.00
Riga Mariners58%fair 1.74 · @1.62
3.13Expected goals
1.15Super Nova 2 xG
1.98Riga Mariners xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–37%
2–16%
From our goals model: Super Nova 2 1.2 – 2.0 Riga Mariners expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Riga Mariners to win✓
58%
1.74
1.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Riga Mariners ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Riga Mariners / FT Riga Mariners✓
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.15
–
Form
Super Nova 2 – last 6
DLDWLD
25 Jul
@ JDFS Alberts
1–1
D
19 Jul
@ Riga FC II
1–2
L
5 Jul
@ Rīgas FS II
1–1
D
27 Jun
vs Tukums II
3–1
W
13 Jun
@ Metta LU
3–7
L
26 May
vs Valmiera BSS
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Riga Mariners – last 6
DLDWWW
25 Jul
vs JFK Ventspils
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Leevon PPK
1–2
L
11 Jul
vs BFC Daugavpils
3–3
D
4 Jul
@ JDFS Alberts
4–0
W
27 Jun
vs Mārupe
2–0
W
20 Jun
vs JDFS Alberts
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Super Nova 2 and Riga Mariners.
What is the prediction for Super Nova 2 vs Riga Mariners?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Super Nova 2 vs Riga Mariners?
On our numbers Super Nova 2 have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Riga Mariners 58%.
How many goals will there be in Super Nova 2 vs Riga Mariners?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Super Nova 2 vs Riga Mariners?
Our predicted score is Super Nova 2 1–1 Riga Mariners, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Super Nova 2 vs Riga Mariners?
Super Nova 2 vs Riga Mariners (1. Liga) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Sporta centrs Krasts.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.