Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSuper Nova 2 to win ✓62% · @1.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Smiltene vs Super Nova 2 preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Liga sees Smiltene take on Super Nova 2 on Wednesday 13 May, kicking off at 18:15 (WAT). Smiltene are 9th with 27 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Super Nova 2 sit 8th on 29 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Smiltene's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to JDFS Alberts 2–3 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 3.3 conceded.
Super Nova 2's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Rēzekne FA 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Super Nova 2 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.2 for Smiltene and 2.2 for Super Nova 2. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Smiltene 24%, draw 14%, Super Nova 2 62%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Smiltene 1–2 Super Nova 2. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Smiltene24%fair 4.20 · @4.10
Draw14%fair 7.00 · @4.20
Super Nova 262%fair 1.61 · @1.57
3.38Expected goals
1.22Smiltene xG
2.16Super Nova 2 xG
54%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Smiltene 1.2 – 2.2 Super Nova 2 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Super Nova 2 to win✓
62%
1.61
1.57
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Super Nova 2 ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Super Nova 2 / FT Super Nova 2✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.31
–
Form
Smiltene – last 3
LLD
3 May
vs JDFS Alberts
2–3
L
12 Apr
@ Valmiera BSS
0–4
L
22 Mar
@ Rīgas FS II
3–3
D
1.7Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Super Nova 2 – last 3
WDW
9 May
vs Rēzekne FA
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Skanste
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs JDFS Alberts
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Smiltene and Super Nova 2.
What is the prediction for Smiltene vs Super Nova 2?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Smiltene vs Super Nova 2?
On our numbers Smiltene have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Super Nova 2 62%.
How many goals will there be in Smiltene vs Super Nova 2?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Smiltene vs Super Nova 2?
Our predicted score is Smiltene 1–2 Super Nova 2, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Smiltene vs Super Nova 2?
Smiltene vs Super Nova 2 (1. Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
