Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.05
Leevon PPK vs Riga FC II preview and prediction
The match
Leevon PPK host Riga FC II in the 1. Liga on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Leevon PPK are 4th with 54 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Riga FC II sit 6th on 37 points (in the top half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Riga FC II's last 4: LDWL Most recently they lost to Skanste 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Leevon PPK and 1.0 for Riga FC II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leevon PPK 60%, draw 23%, Riga FC II 17%.
Safer route: Leevon PPK or draw (83%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Leevon PPK to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Leevon PPK 2–1 Riga FC II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leevon PPK60%fair 1.67 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @4.00
Riga FC II17%fair 6.01 · @4.00
3.07Expected goals
2.05Leevon PPK xG
1.02Riga FC II xG
52%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Leevon PPK 2.1 – 1.0 Riga FC II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leevon PPK to win
60%
1.67
1.65
Double chance
Leevon PPK or draw
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Leevon PPK ahead at half-time
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leevon PPK / FT Leevon PPK
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.05
–
Form
Leevon PPK – last 2
WW
2 May
vs Tukums II
4–1
W
22 Mar
@ Skanste
2–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Riga FC II – last 4
LDWL
4 May
@ Skanste
0–2
L
19 Apr
@ Riga Mariners
2–2
D
10 Apr
vs JDFS Alberts
2–1
W
6 Apr
@ Metta LU
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leevon PPK and Riga FC II.
What is the prediction for Leevon PPK vs Riga FC II?
Our pick is Leevon PPK to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Leevon PPK vs Riga FC II?
On our numbers Leevon PPK have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Riga FC II 17%.
How many goals will there be in Leevon PPK vs Riga FC II?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leevon PPK vs Riga FC II?
Our predicted score is Leevon PPK 2–1 Riga FC II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Leevon PPK vs Riga FC II?
Leevon PPK vs Riga FC II (1. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
