Value bet: Valmiera BSS to win @ 2.55 – our chance 45% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultValmiera BSS to win ✓45% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.49
Rīgas FS II vs Valmiera BSS preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Liga sees Rīgas FS II take on Valmiera BSS on Sunday 29 March, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Rīgas FS II are 11th with 24 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Valmiera BSS sit 2nd on 60 points (in the top four). A gap of 36 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 2.0 for Rīgas FS II and 2.2 for Valmiera BSS. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rīgas FS II 36%, draw 19%, Valmiera BSS 45%.
Value angle: Valmiera BSS to win at 2.55 – 45% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.40, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rīgas FS II 1–2 Valmiera BSS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rīgas FS II36%fair 2.81 · @2.25
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.60
Valmiera BSS45%fair 2.22 · @2.55
4.16Expected goals
1.96Rīgas FS II xG
2.20Valmiera BSS xG
61%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–27%
2–27%
1–17%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Rīgas FS II 2.0 – 2.2 Valmiera BSS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valmiera BSS to win✓
45%
2.22
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Valmiera BSS ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valmiera BSS / FT Valmiera BSS✗
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.49
–
Form
Rīgas FS II – last 1
D
22 Mar
vs Smiltene
3–3
D
3.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Valmiera BSS
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rīgas FS II and Valmiera BSS.
What is the prediction for Rīgas FS II vs Valmiera BSS?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Rīgas FS II vs Valmiera BSS?
On our numbers Rīgas FS II have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Valmiera BSS 45%.
How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS II vs Valmiera BSS?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS II vs Valmiera BSS?
Our predicted score is Rīgas FS II 1–2 Valmiera BSS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Rīgas FS II vs Valmiera BSS?
Rīgas FS II vs Valmiera BSS (1. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
