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Tasmania NPL · Australia · Prospect Park

Launceston City vs Kingborough Lions prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Kingborough Lions to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.73Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultKingborough Lions to win ✓65% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.65

Launceston City vs Kingborough Lions preview and prediction

The match

Launceston City host Kingborough Lions in the Tasmania NPL on Saturday 18 July, with kick-off at 07:45 (WAT) at Prospect Park.

Form guide

Launceston City's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Clarence Zebras 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.

Kingborough Lions's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Glenorchy Knights 2–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Kingborough Lions 2–1 Launceston City.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.4 for Launceston City and 2.6 for Kingborough Lions. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 77% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Kingborough Lions to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Launceston City 1–2 Kingborough Lions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Launceston City19%fair 5.19 · @3.40
Draw16%fair 6.29 · @4.00
Kingborough Lions65%fair 1.54 · @1.73
4.04Expected goals
1.40Launceston City xG
2.64Kingborough Lions xG
56%Both score
77%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–29%
1–38%
1–16%
0–26%
2–26%
0–35%

From our goals model: Launceston City 1.4 – 2.6 Kingborough Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKingborough Lions to win ✓65%1.541.73 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84%1.191.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.79–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓54%1.841.75
Half-time resultKingborough Lions ahead at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kingborough Lions / FT Kingborough Lions ✓43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.65–

Form

Launceston City – last 6

WWWWLL
11 Jul@ Clarence Zebras2–1W
28 Junvs South East Utd.1–0W
14 Jun@ Ulverstone3–1W
30 May@ Glenorchy Knights2–1W
24 Mayvs Devonport City1–3L
9 Mayvs South Hobart1–8L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Kingborough Lions – last 6

WLWDWW
10 Jul@ Glenorchy Knights2–0W
4 Jul@ Ulverstone1–2L
28 Junvs Devonport City2–1W
21 Junvs South Hobart1–1D
14 Jun@ South East Utd.9–0W
30 May@ Riverside3–0W
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 May 2026Kingborough Lions v Launceston City2–1
Launceston City vs Kingborough Lions head-to-head page →

More Tasmania NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Launceston City vs Kingborough Lions?

Our pick is Kingborough Lions to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Launceston City vs Kingborough Lions?

On our numbers Launceston City have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Kingborough Lions 65%.

How many goals will there be in Launceston City vs Kingborough Lions?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Launceston City vs Kingborough Lions?

Our predicted score is Launceston City 1–2 Kingborough Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Launceston City vs Kingborough Lions?

Launceston City vs Kingborough Lions (Tasmania NPL) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 07:45 (West Africa Time) at Prospect Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.