Launceston City vs South Hobart preview and prediction
The match
South Hobart travel to face Launceston City in the Tasmania NPL on Saturday 9 May (05:30 WAT).
Form guide
Launceston City's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Kingborough Lions 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.7 goals a game.
South Hobart's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Devonport City 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.8 per game.
South Hobart arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 1.6 for Launceston City and 2.7 for South Hobart. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 80% and both teams to score at 72%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Launceston City 21%, draw 20%, South Hobart 60%.
Both teams to score: yes (72%) at 1.30.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 72% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Launceston City 1–2 South Hobart. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Launceston City21%fair 4.78 · @3.75
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.80
South Hobart60%fair 1.68 · @1.73
4.29Expected goals
1.61Launceston City xG
2.68South Hobart xG
72%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–37%
2–26%
1–16%
2–36%
0–25%
From our goals model: Launceston City 1.6 – 2.7 South Hobart expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Hobart to win✓
60%
1.68
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
South Hobart ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Hobart / FT South Hobart✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.62
–
Form
Launceston City – last 6
LWWWLW
2 May
@ Kingborough Lions
1–2
L
18 Apr
vs Clarence Zebras
2–0
W
10 Apr
@ Launceston United
7–1
W
28 Mar
@ South East Utd.
6–1
W
20 Mar
vs Riverside
2–3
L
14 Mar
vs Ulverstone
4–0
W
3.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
South Hobart – last 6
WWWWWW
2 May
vs Devonport City
3–2
W
18 Apr
@ Ulverstone
6–0
W
27 Mar
@ Glenorchy Knights
2–1
W
21 Mar
vs Kingborough Lions
5–1
W
15 Mar
vs Clarence Zebras
2–0
W
7 Mar
@ Launceston United
5–1
W
3.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Launceston City and South Hobart.
What is the prediction for Launceston City vs South Hobart?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Launceston City vs South Hobart?
On our numbers Launceston City have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and South Hobart 60%.
How many goals will there be in Launceston City vs South Hobart?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Launceston City vs South Hobart?
Our predicted score is Launceston City 1–2 South Hobart, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Launceston City vs South Hobart?
Launceston City vs South Hobart (Tasmania NPL) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 05:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tasmania NPL · Australia
Devonport City2
Glenorchy Knights1
Riverside5
South East Utd.0
Launceston United1
Kingborough Lions7