Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Kingborough Lions to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKingborough Lions to win ✓65% · @1.53
Double chanceKingborough Lions or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.35
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.40
Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights preview and prediction
The match
Kingborough Lions host Glenorchy Knights in the Tasmania NPL on Saturday 18 April, with kick-off at 05:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Kingborough Lions's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Ulverstone 5–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Glenorchy Knights's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Clarence Zebras 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Kingborough Lions arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Kingborough Lions and 0.9 for Glenorchy Knights. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Safer route: Kingborough Lions or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.35.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kingborough Lions to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Kingborough Lions 2–0 Glenorchy Knights. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kingborough Lions65%fair 1.53 · @1.53
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @4.20
Glenorchy Knights14%fair 7.01 · @4.60
3.10Expected goals
2.17Kingborough Lions xG
0.93Glenorchy Knights xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Kingborough Lions 2.2 – 0.9 Glenorchy Knights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kingborough Lions to win✓
65%
1.53
1.53
Double chance
Kingborough Lions or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.35
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Kingborough Lions ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kingborough Lions / FT Kingborough Lions✓
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.40
–
Form
Kingborough Lions – last 5
WLLWW
11 Apr
vs Ulverstone
5–1
W
28 Mar
@ Devonport City
0–1
L
21 Mar
@ South Hobart
1–5
L
14 Mar
vs South East Utd.
2–0
W
7 Mar
vs Riverside
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Glenorchy Knights – last 5
LLWLL
11 Apr
@ Clarence Zebras
0–2
L
27 Mar
vs South Hobart
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs South East Utd.
3–1
W
14 Mar
@ Riverside
0–3
L
7 Mar
@ Launceston City
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kingborough Lions and Glenorchy Knights.
What is the prediction for Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights?
Our pick is Kingborough Lions to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights?
On our numbers Kingborough Lions have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Glenorchy Knights 14%.
How many goals will there be in Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights?
Our predicted score is Kingborough Lions 2–0 Glenorchy Knights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights?
Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights (Tasmania NPL) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 05:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.