Devonport City vs Kingborough Lions prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Over 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDevonport City to win ✓61% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · fair 1.56
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗61% · @1.75
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 15.27
Devonport City vs Kingborough Lions preview and prediction
The match
Devonport City host Kingborough Lions in the Tasmania NPL on Saturday 28 March, with kick-off at 04:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Kingborough Lions's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to South Hobart 1–5 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.8 goals: 3.0 for Devonport City and 1.9 for Kingborough Lions. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 86% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Devonport City 61%, draw 15%, Kingborough Lions 23%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 3.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Devonport City 3–1 Kingborough Lions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Devonport City61%fair 1.63 · @1.73
Draw15%fair 6.53 · @4.00
Kingborough Lions23%fair 4.26 · @3.45
4.83Expected goals
2.97Devonport City xG
1.86Kingborough Lions xG
64%Both score
86%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–17%
3–16%
2–26%
3–26%
4–15%
4–24%
From our goals model: Devonport City 3.0 – 1.9 Kingborough Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Devonport City to win✓
61%
1.63
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.75 ▲
Half-time result
Devonport City ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Devonport City / FT Devonport City✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
15.27
–
Form
Devonport City – last 2
WW
14 Mar
vs Launceston United
2–0
W
7 Mar
@ Ulverstone
11–2
W
6.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kingborough Lions – last 3
LWW
21 Mar
@ South Hobart
1–5
L
14 Mar
vs South East Utd.
2–0
W
7 Mar
vs Riverside
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Devonport City and Kingborough Lions.
What is the prediction for Devonport City vs Kingborough Lions?
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Devonport City vs Kingborough Lions?
On our numbers Devonport City have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Kingborough Lions 23%.
How many goals will there be in Devonport City vs Kingborough Lions?
We expect about 4.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 86% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Devonport City vs Kingborough Lions?
Our predicted score is Devonport City 3–1 Kingborough Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.8 goals in total.
When is Devonport City vs Kingborough Lions?
Devonport City vs Kingborough Lions (Tasmania NPL) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 04:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tasmania NPL · Australia
South East Utd.1
Launceston City6
Launceston United0
Clarence Zebras1