Goias vs Atletico Goianiense prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Goias or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Goias to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGoias to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceGoias or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.11
Goias vs Atletico Goianiense preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Goianiense travel to face Goias in the Goiano 1 on Sunday 15 March (20:00 WAT).
Form guide
Atletico Goianiense's last 4: WWWD Most recently they beat Porto Velho 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Goias and 0.7 for Atletico Goianiense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 40%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Goias to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Goias or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Goias 1–0 Atletico Goianiense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Goias58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.10
Atletico Goianiense18%fair 5.51 · @3.60
2.23Expected goals
1.52Goias xG
0.71Atletico Goianiense xG
40%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Goias 1.5 – 0.7 Atletico Goianiense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Goias to win✗
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Goias or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Goias / FT Goias✗
34%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.11
–
Form
Goias – last 1
W
11 Mar
vs Fluminense PI
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Atletico Goianiense – last 4
WWWD
12 Mar
@ Porto Velho
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Primavera MG
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Vila Nova
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs ABECAT Ouvidorense
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Goias and Atletico Goianiense.
What is the prediction for Goias vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our pick is Goias or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Goias vs Atletico Goianiense?
On our numbers Goias have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atletico Goianiense 18%.
How many goals will there be in Goias vs Atletico Goianiense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Goias vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our predicted score is Goias 1–0 Atletico Goianiense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Goias vs Atletico Goianiense?
Goias vs Atletico Goianiense (Goiano 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Goiano 1 · Brazil
