Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Gandzasar to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultGandzasar to win58% · @1.91
Double chanceGandzasar or draw84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.79
Gandzasar vs Ararat preview and prediction
The match
Ararat travel to Stadion Gandzasar in the Premier League on Saturday 21 March (16:00 WAT) to face Gandzasar. Gandzasar are 12th with 3 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Ararat sit 9th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Gandzasar and 0.7 for Ararat. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gandzasar 58%, draw 26%, Ararat 16%.
Safer route: Gandzasar or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Gandzasar to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gandzasar or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Gandzasar 1–0 Ararat. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gandzasar58%fair 1.72 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.25
Ararat16%fair 6.40 · @3.65
2.40Expected goals
1.66Gandzasar xG
0.75Ararat xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Gandzasar 1.7 – 0.7 Ararat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gandzasar to win
58%
1.72
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Gandzasar or draw
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.91
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gandzasar / FT Gandzasar
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.79
–
Form
Gandzasar – last 1
D
6 Mar
vs FC Urartu
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ararat – last 2
WL
7 Mar
@ Van
2–1
W
3 Mar
vs FC Urartu
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gandzasar and Ararat.
Our pick is Gandzasar or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Gandzasar vs Ararat?
On our numbers Gandzasar have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ararat 16%.
How many goals will there be in Gandzasar vs Ararat?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gandzasar vs Ararat?
Our predicted score is Gandzasar 1–0 Ararat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Gandzasar vs Ararat?
Gandzasar vs Ararat (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Gandzasar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
