Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.39 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.39Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.03 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRodina Moskva to win ✓68% · @1.29
Double chanceRodina Moskva or draw ✓86% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.03
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.69
Rodina Moskva vs Chayka preview and prediction
The match
Chayka travel to Arena Khimki in the First League on Monday 23 March (17:00 WAT) to face Rodina Moskva.
Form guide
Rodina Moskva's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Ska-khabarovsk 2–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Rodina Moskva and 0.7 for Chayka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rodina Moskva 68%, draw 18%, Chayka 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.03.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.03 – 54% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.39. Predicted score: Rodina Moskva 1–0 Chayka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rodina Moskva68%fair 1.47 · @1.29
Draw18%fair 5.71 · @5.05
Chayka14%fair 7.00 · @9.40
2.73Expected goals
1.99Rodina Moskva xG
0.74Chayka xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Rodina Moskva 2.0 – 0.7 Chayka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rodina Moskva to win✓
68%
1.47
1.29
Double chance
Rodina Moskva or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
2.03 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.39
Half-time result
Rodina Moskva ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rodina Moskva / FT Rodina Moskva✓
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.69
–
Form
Rodina Moskva – last 3
DWW
14 Mar
@ Ska-khabarovsk
2–2
D
8 Mar
@ Torpedo Moskva
2–0
W
2 Mar
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chayka – last 2
WL
7 Mar
vs FK Sokol Saratov
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Ska-khabarovsk
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rodina Moskva and Chayka.
What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva vs Chayka?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win Rodina Moskva vs Chayka?
On our numbers Rodina Moskva have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Chayka 14%.
How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva vs Chayka?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva vs Chayka?
Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva 1–0 Chayka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Rodina Moskva vs Chayka?
Rodina Moskva vs Chayka (First League) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chelyabinsk0
Torpedo Moskva1