Spartak Kostroma vs Shinnik Yaroslavl prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.49 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.49Odds
2
Value bet: Shinnik Yaroslavl to win @ 3.78 – our chance 32% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpartak Kostroma to win ✗46% · @2.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.36
Spartak Kostroma vs Shinnik Yaroslavl preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Spartak Kostroma take on Shinnik Yaroslavl on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadion Urozhay. Spartak Kostroma are 6th with 28 points from 17 games (in the top half), while Shinnik Yaroslavl sit 7th on 26 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Shinnik Yaroslavl's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Enisey 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.3 for Spartak Kostroma and 1.0 for Shinnik Yaroslavl. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Shinnik Yaroslavl to win at 3.78 – 32% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.49. Predicted score: Spartak Kostroma 1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spartak Kostroma46%fair 2.18 · @2.04
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.08
Shinnik Yaroslavl32%fair 3.16 · @3.78
2.22Expected goals
1.25Spartak Kostroma xG
0.97Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Spartak Kostroma 1.3 – 1.0 Shinnik Yaroslavl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Kostroma to win✗
46%
2.18
2.04
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.49
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.46
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.13
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Kostroma / FT Spartak Kostroma✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.36
–
Form
Spartak Kostroma – last 1
D
7 Mar
@ Chelyabinsk
3–3
D
3.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 3
DWL
15 Mar
vs Enisey
1–1
D
9 Mar
vs FC UFA
1–0
W
2 Mar
@ Rodina Moskva
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartak Kostroma and Shinnik Yaroslavl.
What is the prediction for Spartak Kostroma vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Spartak Kostroma vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
On our numbers Spartak Kostroma have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shinnik Yaroslavl 32%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Kostroma vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Kostroma vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our predicted score is Spartak Kostroma 1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Spartak Kostroma vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Spartak Kostroma vs Shinnik Yaroslavl (First League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Urozhay.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FK Sokol Saratov0