Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Meizhou Kejia prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: Heilongjiang Lava Spring to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHeilongjiang Lava Spring to win ✗58% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Meizhou Kejia preview and prediction
The match
Heilongjiang Lava Spring host Meizhou Kejia in the League One on Tuesday 6 October, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Dingnan Football Youth Training Center. Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 14th with 28 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Meizhou Kejia sit 15th on 16 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Heilongjiang Lava Spring's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Dongguan United 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Meizhou Kejia's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Hebei Kungfu 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 May 2026, finished Meizhou Kejia 2–2 Heilongjiang Lava Spring.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Heilongjiang Lava Spring and 1.2 for Meizhou Kejia. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 64%.
Value angle: Heilongjiang Lava Spring to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 2–1 Meizhou Kejia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Heilongjiang Lava Spring58%fair 1.71 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.30
Meizhou Kejia21%fair 4.77 · @3.20
3.25Expected goals
2.08Heilongjiang Lava Spring xG
1.17Meizhou Kejia xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 2.1 – 1.2 Meizhou Kejia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heilongjiang Lava Spring to win✗
58%
1.71
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Heilongjiang Lava Spring ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heilongjiang Lava Spring / FT Heilongjiang Lava Spring✗
What is the prediction for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Meizhou Kejia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Meizhou Kejia?
On our numbers Heilongjiang Lava Spring have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Meizhou Kejia 21%.
How many goals will there be in Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Meizhou Kejia?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Meizhou Kejia?
Our predicted score is Heilongjiang Lava Spring 2–1 Meizhou Kejia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Meizhou Kejia?
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Meizhou Kejia (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Dingnan Football Youth Training Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
