Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Dongguan United prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHeilongjiang Lava Spring to win ✗59% · @1.62
Double chanceHeilongjiang Lava Spring or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Dongguan United preview and prediction
The match
The League One sees Heilongjiang Lava Spring take on Dongguan United on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Dingnan Football Youth Training Center. Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 14th with 28 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Dongguan United sit 16th on 16 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Heilongjiang Lava Spring's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Changchun Yatai 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Dongguan United's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Suzhou Dongwu 2–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Heilongjiang Lava Spring arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.7 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Dongguan United 1–1 Heilongjiang Lava Spring.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Heilongjiang Lava Spring and 1.1 for Dongguan United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 59%, draw 25%, Dongguan United 16%.
Safer route: Heilongjiang Lava Spring or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 2–1 Dongguan United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Heilongjiang Lava Spring59%fair 1.69 · @1.62
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.40
Dongguan United16%fair 6.25 · @4.60
3.26Expected goals
2.16Heilongjiang Lava Spring xG
1.10Dongguan United xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 2.2 – 1.1 Dongguan United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heilongjiang Lava Spring to win✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Double chance
Heilongjiang Lava Spring or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Heilongjiang Lava Spring ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heilongjiang Lava Spring / FT Heilongjiang Lava Spring✗
What is the prediction for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Dongguan United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Dongguan United?
On our numbers Heilongjiang Lava Spring have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dongguan United 16%.
How many goals will there be in Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Dongguan United?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Dongguan United?
Our predicted score is Heilongjiang Lava Spring 2–1 Dongguan United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Dongguan United?
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Dongguan United (League One) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Dingnan Football Youth Training Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
