Shaanxi Union vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring preview and prediction
The match
The League One sees Shaanxi Union take on Heilongjiang Lava Spring on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 08:30 (WAT) at Weinan Sports Center Stadium. Shaanxi Union are 3rd with 51 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Heilongjiang Lava Spring sit 14th on 28 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Shaanxi Union's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Yanbian Longding 3–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Heilongjiang Lava Spring's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Suzhou Dongwu 3–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Shaanxi Union arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1–1 Shaanxi Union.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Shaanxi Union and 0.8 for Heilongjiang Lava Spring. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Shaanxi Union 70%, draw 20%, Heilongjiang Lava Spring 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Shaanxi Union to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Shaanxi Union 2–0 Heilongjiang Lava Spring. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shaanxi Union70%fair 1.43 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @4.00
Heilongjiang Lava Spring11%fair 9.47 · @6.00
3.12Expected goals
2.31Shaanxi Union xG
0.81Heilongjiang Lava Spring xG
57%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Shaanxi Union 2.3 – 0.8 Heilongjiang Lava Spring expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shaanxi Union vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
Our pick is Shaanxi Union to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Shaanxi Union vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
On our numbers Shaanxi Union have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Heilongjiang Lava Spring 11%.
How many goals will there be in Shaanxi Union vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shaanxi Union vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
Our predicted score is Shaanxi Union 2–0 Heilongjiang Lava Spring, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Shaanxi Union vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
Shaanxi Union vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring (League One) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Weinan Sports Center Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
